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Paid
scenario-engine
Paid
Turns one valuation into three cases with probabilities that sum to one, then computes the expected value, the skew, and which single assumption moves it most.
This one is in the paid set. Enter your code below and the download turns on.
Reach for it when
- You have a model and one number, which is a guess with a decimal point
- You want to know the shape of the bet before sizing it
- Needs first
- A model, and your own probabilities. It will not assign them.
- Leaves behind
- Three cases as stories and numbers, an expected value, and the swing assumption that deserves the next hour of research.
- Takes about
- Thirty minutes.
- Will not
- Let the bear case be a multiple change. A bear case says what happens in the business, including the financing consequence.
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